CINCINNATI – The national gas price average has been cheaper year-over-year for 336 days — as much as $1.12/gallon less. However, AAA predicts that trend will end as early as this week. At $2.42, the national average is only a nickel cheaper than a year ago.

“For nearly a year, motorists have been saving 53 cents a gallon, on average, when filling up their gas tanks. That extra pocket change is quickly going to dwindle thanks to rising crude oil prices that have made for more expensive pump prices,” said Jenifer Moore, AAA spokeswoman.

Here in Ohio, though, motorists are still enjoying a year-over-year savings.

Though gas prices are on the rise, today’s statewide average is $2.34 — seven cents cheaper than a year ago on this same date.

According to the latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) measurements, demand declined from 8.11 million b/d to 7.83 million b/d and total refinery utilization decreased from 82.5 percent to 81.7 percent over last week. These decreases led to an increase in gasoline supply of 2.4 million bbl.

Typically, these factors (decrease in demand, increase in supply) drive a decrease at the pump, but sustained crude oil prices are pushing the increase. For three weeks, crude continues to price between $52–$53/bbl, steady price points not seen since mid-February 2020. Gas prices are expected to continue to increase as crude oil prices remain at these price points.

Quick stats

• The nation’s top 10 largest weekly increases: Michigan (+12 cents), Indiana (+10 cents), North Carolina (+8 cents), Idaho (+5 cents), Illinois (+5 cents), Oklahoma (+4 cents), California (+4 cents), Nevada (+4 cents), Tennessee (+4 cents) and Vermont (+3 cents).

• The nation’s top 10 most expensive markets: California ($3.41), Hawaii ($3.32), Washington ($2.83), Nevada ($2.77), Pennsylvania ($2.70), Oregon ($2.69), Washington, D.C. ($2.59), Alaska ($2.59), Illinois ($2.59) and New Jersey ($2.56).

Oil market dynamics

At the close of Friday’s formal trading session, WTI decreased by 14 cents to settle at $52.20. Price gains were limited last week by ongoing market concern that crude demand may take more time than expected to recover in 2021 due to new coronavirus infections and associated travel restrictions.

However, EIA’s new weekly report prompted crude price increases earlier in the week after it showed total domestic crude inventories declined by 9.9 million bbl to 476.7 million bbl, which is the largest weekly decline since late July 2020.

For this week, crude prices may continue to drop if market concern regarding demand continues to grow.

For more information, visit www.AAA.com.